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NCAA Football · Premier Picks®4 ★ rating

South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama JaguarsatMarshall Thundering HerdMarshall Thundering Herd

7:30 PM ETESPN2
NBA NBA · Premier Picks®3 ★ rating

Boston CelticsBoston CelticsatDetroit PistonsDetroit Pistons

3:10 PM ETNBC

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Latest Sports Betting Insights

MLB Double Plays: Count the Chances Before the EscapesA double-play total mixes opportunity with execution. Separate baserunner situations, ground balls and defensive conversions before judging a pitcher.NBA Free Throws: Separate Opportunity from AccuracyA strong free-throw percentage does not explain how often an offense reaches the line. Review attempts, shot profile and game context together.College Football Penalties: Look Beyond the YardagePenalty yards miss some of the most important effects. Review erased gains, extended drives and the down-and-distance change before comparing discipline.MLB Pitch Counts: Workload Is More Than InningsThree innings can require very different amounts of work. Review pitches, stressful sequences and rest before comparing a pitcher’s recent workload.NFL Third Downs: The Distance Changes the StoryA conversion percentage combines very different situations. Review yards to gain, early-down mistakes and the defense faced before judging third-down performance.All Betting Reference Articles →Past Recaps & Matchup Analysis →
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Premier Picks® for Sunday, September 27, 2026

4 STAR★★★★
NFL

Jacksonville -2.5 over New England (NFL)

Playable range: -1 to -4.5

Why we like this pick

I like Jacksonville’s opportunity to turn New England’s early ball-security problems into an advantage at home. Drake Maye entered this game with four interceptions through two weeks, while the Jaguars had already produced three takeaways. That creates a path to shorter fields if Jacksonville’s front can apply pressure. On offense, Trevor Lawrence has capable options in Parker Washington and Jakobi Meyers, but protection against New England’s strong defensive front is essential. The Patriots are disciplined enough to keep this competitive; I’m backing Jacksonville to make the more decisive plays and cover a manageable home spread.

3 STAR★★★
NFL

Washington +8 over Seattle (NFL)

Playable range: +10 to +6

Why we like this pick

I like Washington getting more than a touchdown at home. Losing Jayden Daniels matters, but Marcus Mariota is an experienced replacement who played well in relief the previous week and is willing to challenge defenses downfield. Seattle is missing both starting safeties, Julian Love and Ty Okada, which creates an opportunity for Washington to find enough scoring plays to stay close. The Seahawks had converted only three of seven red-zone trips into touchdowns through two games. Washington’s own injuries and Seattle’s strong defense are concerns, but this number gives the Commanders room to cover without winning outright.

3 STAR★★★
NFL

Detroit -6.5 over N.Y. Jets (NFL)

Playable range: -5 to -8.5

Why we like this pick

I’m backing Detroit’s offensive balance at Ford Field, particularly with Blake Miller and Christian Mahogany trending toward a return to the line. Their presence would help the Lions establish the run and avoid obvious passing situations against a Jets defense that entered the game ranked first overall. Amon-Ra St. Brown’s strong start gives Jared Goff a dependable target to keep drives moving. The concern is Detroit’s defense, which had allowed too many explosive plays through two weeks. This pick depends on cleaner defensive execution and Detroit sustaining drives well enough to build a clear winning margin.

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