Insider's Look at Betting the NCAA Tournament
tournament is upon us and soon we will bask in one of the great sporting events
of the year. We also look forward to a month of betting
opportunities that could put us on track for a
look at a number of ways to increase your success in betting this yearís NCAA
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Madness Bracket Challenge
If you are
planning on winning anything in a bracket challenge, start with your champion
and work backwards. Most winners of bracket challenges are the ones that
correctly pick the winner. More points are awarded for the champion than for
picking a first- or second-round upset.
As you pick
your bracket, keep that in mind. Also consider that since 1985 when the
tournament expanded to 64 teams, more No. 1, 2, and 3 seeds make the Final Four
than any other seeds.
start picking your Cinderella to go all the way to the Final Four, think about
this. Since Ď85, there have only been 14 instances when a team seeded No. 7 or
lower advanced to a Final Four.
also says that at least one No. 1 seed and one No. 2 seed will get beat before
the Sweet Sixteen. Your goal is to pick the right ones. But, donít worry. Picking
the right champion is more important.
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still bet on the national champion in the futures market. Gonzaga, the overall
No. 1 seed, is the overwhelming favorite at +155. More often than not, a No. 1
seed does win the tournament. Fourteen of the past 20 champions have been No. 1
started naming an overall No. 1 seed 16 years ago, only three times has that
team won the national championship. The other No. 1 seeds - Baylor (+550),
Illinois (+500), and Michigan (+600) - are solid choices as well.
unlikely all four No. 1s will make it to the Final Four. Since the expansion of
Madness, only once (2008) have all four top seeds
advanced to the Final Four.
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plenty of value betting the individual games of this yearís tournament as well.
With 67 games, there are plenty of opportunities for success. If you are
looking for moneyline upsets, look at the 7-10 and 6-11 matchups. There are
more upsets in those games than any others in the first round.
10th and 11th seeds are either very good mid-major champions or teams from a
power conference that have played an extremely tough schedule.
point spreads, remember that teams that excel on defense typically do well come
tournament time. Watch for teams like Loyola, St. Bonaventure, Virginia, and
Houston especially if they are an underdog.
also find value in betting on totals. Again, strong defensive teams typically
trend toward the Under. St. Bonaventure, for example, has seen the total go
Under in 14 of its 20 games.
other end, high-scoring teams like Oklahoma State (19-8-1) and West Virginia
(18-9) have trended toward the Over.