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Betting NFL Updated Division Futures

The 2018 NFL regular season heads into the halfway point and while some things have gone according to plan, some other things have been turned completely upside down when it comes to the posted futures for each of the eight division races.

The Washington Redskins are leading the NFC East at 4-2, while the defending Super Bowl Champion Philadelphia Eagles have already lost more games than they did in the 2017 title run. The Chicago Bears have gotten used to being last in the NFC North, but at 3-3 after their first six games, they are just a game and half out of first place.

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Some of the races have stayed in line with the NFL futures odds that were posted on the board right before the start of the preseason games. The Los Angeles Rams are running away with the NFC West at 7-0 as clear favorites to repeat as division champs. The New England Patriots were prohibitive favorites to win their 10th-straight AFC East title. At 5-2, their lead over Miami is just one game, but they remain heavy favorites make good on that bet.

When it comes to betting on the recently updated NFL futures to win each of the eight division races, there is still some solid value on the board in many of these contests.

Starting in the NFC East, the Eagles were -150 favorites to win the division title in the preseason and their odds to win it now at 3-4 are set at +175 as second favorites. The Redskins are now the frontrunners as +150 favorites. Dallas is in the mix at +225 followed by the New York Giants at +3300.

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Any one of these four teams can win this division, even the 1-6 Giants given the total lack of consistency each team has displayed from week-to-week. The Eagles have continually shot themselves in the foot in what have easily could have been a 6-1 start. They still have two games to play against Washington to close the gap as a top value pick.

The 5-1 New Orleans Saints have gone from +150 favorites to win the NFC South before the season to heavy -260 favorites at this point of the season. Carolina offers some value as a +300 favorite with its 4-2 start, but I would concede this race to New Orleans.

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Skipping over the NFC West which has already been conceded to the Rams, Minnesota was a +115 favorite to win the NFC North in the preseason and at 4-2-1, the Vikings are +100 favorites on the updated board. This division is far from being conceded with Minnesota using some smoke and mirrors to post its early lead. Green Bay is second at +300 with a 3-2-1 mark followed by Chicago at +350. The Detroit Lions have strung together a few wins to even their mark at 3-3 and their odds to win the North are +700. These is something about the Bears that makes them the top-valued pick on the list.

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Conceding the AFC East to New England is probably a smart move. Pittsburgh was a heavy -250 favorite to once again with the AFC North before the season and at 3-2-1 through six games, those odds have shifted to +140 with Baltimore (+175) and Cincinnati (+275) each going 4-3 in their first seven games. The Steelers have already beaten each of those teams once to give them the early edge to winning the North.

The AFC South was the most wide-open race heading into the season with Jacksonville set as a +175 favorite followed by Houston at +200 odds and Tennessee at +350. The updated futures now gives the clear edge to the Texans at -125 betting odds. They are 4-3 following an 0-3 start with the Jaguars (+225) and Titans (+550) just one game back at 3-4. Jacksonville appears to be headed in the wrong direction and Tennessee has lost its last three games after a strong start. Advantage Houston.

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The Kansas City Chiefs have won the AFC West the previous two years, but they came into this season as +250 second-favorites behind the Los Angeles Chargers as +135 favorites. The Chiefs’ 6-1 start has radically shifted those odds as prohibitive -450 favorites ahead of the 5-2 Chargers at +300 betting odds. As crazy as it may sound, betting Los Angeles to win the West is a tremendous value. It is riding a four-game winning streak and picking up steam each and every week. The one drawback is a Week 1 loss to the Chiefs at home. However, things could still come down to that second meeting in Kansas City on Dec. 13.





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