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What happens in this Super Bowl, do the Rams have a legitimate chance to win this game? Yes, they do. Without question, the Rams have the team to beat the Patriots.

Forget about the Saints game. Clear this game from the handicapping laurels and start fresh. Look, there may be controversy over how this game ended, forget that. That’s for the fans that buy tickets. What happened was this; The Saints saw the red zone four times in the first quarter and came away with 13 points. They even had a pickoff in the red zone and could only come away with 3 points. That loss was on the Saints, not a bad call! Period! The Rams made the Saints pay the price and they boarded and airplane back to LA as NFC Champions.

Forget about the Patriots many Super Bowl losses and for that matter, forget about their five wins. This is all about now. Who has the best team now, who has the best chance of winning this game?

Game: New England Patriots (11-5, 9-7-0 ATS) at Los Angeles Rams (13-3, 7-7-2 ATS)
When: 6:30 PM ET, Sunday, February 3rd, 2019
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta Georgia
Current Line: Rams + 2 ½ | Money Line +120 | Patriots – 2 ½ | Money Line -140 | O/U 57.5
TV Coverage: CBS

Betting the Total--- The Patriots come into the Super Bowl with a record of 5-11-0 against the total. This means that five of the games played, have gone over the set total by the oddsmakers. Eleven of the games played, have gone under the total. What does this tell us? It tells us two things. 1. The Patriots defense has been underestimated all season long… 2. It also says the Patriots offense may not be what it once was.

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The Rams come into the game with an 8-8-0 record against the total. Half of the games they played went over, and half of the games went under the total. The Rams come out of these numbers looking like a “crap shoot” on the total, the Patriots come out looking like the under is the play. Take a look at the numbers and you be the judge.

The Patriots--- Scoring 27.3 points per game, (4th) allowing 20.3 points per game, (7th).
The Rams--- Scoring 32.9 points per game, (2nd) allowing 24 points per game, (20th).

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This is the Super Bowl, and this Super Bowl is not featuring the 1985 Bears or the 2015 Broncos. This is a game that features two teams with great quarterbacks, and they both made it to this game on the strength of their offense. This game will let it all hang out! It’s extremely hard to imagine any kind of defensive juggernaut in this one.

Betting the Side / Point spread--- This game can be broken down a million different ways and rest assured, it will be. The important thing to do when looking at the spread is to remember; the same numbers apply for the totals. The Rams have outscored the Patriots by close to six points this season, and allowed 4 more points than the Patriots. That brings us to 2! On paper, the Rams win this game by 2 points.

The Rams are a 2 ½ point underdog, thus making the value in this bet on the Rams. The numbers prove it. The Rams may not win this game, but they will keep it close and this one will be a last second possession.

NFL Playoffs - Betting the First Half

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