NFL Playoffs -
Betting the First Half
Betting the NFL is a ton of fun and there are many ways
to win a lot of money. In fact, there are so many ways, that it can be a bit
overwhelming. There are three basic types of NFL bettors, the casual
bettor—this is the bettor that gets together with friends on the weekend and is
maybe in an office pool but really doesn’t make it a point to know that much
about the NFL. More than likely, this type of bettor doesn’t have the kind of
time that it would take in order to learn about the NFL, however, they love
watching the games and if you were to ask them where the Baltimore Raven or the
Tampa Bay Buccaneers were at in the standings, maybe they could tell you.
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The second type of bettor is the serious bettor. This is
the guy that’s winning the office pool and the guy that often flies to Vegas for
the weekend during the NFL season in order to take the cash winnings home with
him. This type of bettor usually knows who the backup quarterbacks are and
maybe the secondary and possibly the defensive and offensive lines, they could
most likely tell you who most all of the head coaches are and they make a
fairly serious effort to know everything they can about the game and the teams
they like to bet on.
Legalities of Online Sportsbook Betting
The third type of NFL bettor is known as a “sharp”. These
bettors are NFL handicappers and they often bet on the NFL as part of their
living-part of their income. There are sharp bettors all over the United
States, they do not all live in Vegas and most of them bet online. These folks
keep up with every trend in the NFL, they know every stat available and they
know how to bet with or against those stats. The sharp bettors usually win more
than 55% of the time and even in the 60% range.
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The sharp players win money by betting on value and if
they see that any given first half is offering value, then they will absolutely
bet that first half. How do they determine what’s lines are valuable? It’s
very simple; first halves are blind. You do not have a first half that has
already been played to gauge the action against, to combat this, you must know
how teams open up games, and how they do this on a regular basis.
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In the playoffs, home teams will always open the first
half as a favorite and usually, not always, but usually, the home team wins the
first half. The first half usually has a line that’s a couple of points off the
spread for the entire game. Example: Colts Vs. the Chiefs. The game line is
Colts +5 ½. The first half line is Colts +3.
What you must ask yourself is this; who brings value to
the first half? Can the Chiefs win by three or more at home? Can the Colts surprise
the Chiefs and keep it very close or even be winning at halftime? This is how
you must play every first half in the NFL.
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