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NFL Week 9 By the Numbers

 

The NFL season is now beyond the halfway point in a challenging 2020 season. The favorites had another tough week, going 8-6 straight up in Week 9. It was much worse against the spread, with the underdogs covering in nine of the 14 games.

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Division and wild card races continued to take shape, with teams emerging as favorites to make the playoffs. One team entered the week undefeated, and another one was still looking for their first win. The undefeated team found a way to win, and the winless one found a way to lose. 

Double-digit Lines

The top two teams in the AFC were double-digit favorites in their Week 9 games. Kansas City was favored by 11 points against the Panthers and escaped with a 33-31 win. In Dallas, Pittsburgh had to cover a 13.5 point spread but was unsuccessful in a 24-19 victory.

 

Betting aside, the real barometer is a team’s won-loss record. Pittsburgh, now at 8-0, leads the Ravens by two games and also has a victory over them. The Chiefs lead the Raiders by two and a half games, but their only loss is to Las Vegas.

Did you miss last week’s action? Take a look at NFL Week 8 by the numbers

Inexplicable Outcome

On Sunday night, the 5.5 point favorite Tampa Bay Buccaneers hosted the New Orleans Saints. After the dust had cleared, the Saints had decimated the Bucs by a score of 38-3. It was a shocker to most who pay close attention to NFL scores and odds. It may be hard to believe, but the game wasn’t even that close.

Tom Brady looked every bit of his 43 years against the Saints, hardly a defensive juggernaut. It’s likely that the Bucs just don’t match up well against New Orleans. After all, the Saints defeated Tampa Bay by 11 points in Week 1. 

Shuffle Off to Buffalo

The Seattle Seahawks finally paid the price for suspect defense against a team that could hold their own. The Buffalo Bills defeated the Seahawks 44-34 and now stand at 7-2 atop the AFC East. It’s been a long time since anyone other than the Patriots have been a force in that division.

Although the Chiefs and Steelers remain the favorites to meet in the AFC championship game, the Bills could contend. Their ability to score points will keep them in the hunt throughout the season. With the rules changes, good defense no longer stops a good offense.

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Over the Rainbow

Continuing a season-long trend, games in Week 9 beat the over/under by a margin of 11-3. In four games, the margin was razor-thin, but the over was the way to go. The over/under in the Seahawks and Bills game was 55, the highest of the week and a favorite for those offering NFL picks.

The actual total score of the game ended up at 78, blowing away the betting line. On the season, across the board bets on the over would so far have netted a nice return.

Perfection Maintained

The Pittsburgh Steelers were able to overcome a ten-point fourth-quarter deficit to defeat the Dallas Cowboys. Dallas covered the spread in the game, but that is little solace to owner Jerry Jones as he watched his team fall to 2-7.

Coincidentally, the Patriots did the same thing to the Jets Monday night, sending the Jets to 0-9. Watching the game, it was apparent why the Jets have yet to notch a victory in the 2020 season.





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