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NHL Free Pick | Lightning at Red Wings

 

Detroit was out of the NHL playoff picture not long into the 2021 season. While the Red Wings have one of the worst records in the league, they have pulled some surprises this season.

Two of those surprises have come against Tampa Bay, the Red Wings opponent this Sunday. The Lightning are the defending Stanley Cup champion, but the Red Wings have something Tampa Bay does not. That is something NHL bettors can use to their advantage on Sunday.

A LOOK AT THE NHL BETTING MENU

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning (33-14-2, 22-27 ATS) at Detroit Red Wings (17-25-9, 32-19 ATS)

When: 3:00 PM ET, Sunday, May 2, 2021

Where: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan

Current Line: OFF†††† Total: OFF

TV Coverage: NBC

Keeping Things Close

As bad as Detroit has been in 2021, the Red Wings have been able to keep games close and pull a few upsets. Take their last three games as an example. 

The Red Wings lost in a shootout to Columbus 1-0 on Tuesday. They lost 2-1 in overtime to Dallas last Saturday and beat the Stars 7-3 last Saturday. 

Detroit owns the NHLís second-best record ATS. The Red Wings are 32-19 ATS this season. That includes covering in four of the six games that Detroit has played against Tampa Bay this season.

ICYMI: An Inside Look at the 2021 NCAA Tournament

The Lightning blew out Detroit in the first two games winning 5-1 and 3-1. Since, Detroit has covered in each of the past four games, which includes two wins. In the second two-game set, Tampa Bay won the first game 4-3 and lost to Detroit 6-4 in the second.

Recent History

In the most recent pair of games played on April 3 and 4, the Lightning took the opener 2-1 and then lost 5-1 in the second game. 

Since beating Tampa Bay in that game on April 4, the Red Wings have played 11 games. They have only four games, but four of the seven losses have come by just one goal. Detroit even had a three-game winning streak. That included two straight wins over Central Division leader Carolina.

MUST READ> BETTING THE 2021 TRIPLE CROWN RACING SERIES AT ONLINE SPORTSBOOKS

The Lightning, on the other hand, have won three straight and since losing to Detroit on April 4 have won seven of eleven games. Tampa Bay has clinched a playoff berth but can overtake second-place Florida and gain home-ice advantage in the opening round of the postseason.

The Lightning still have a chance at capturing the top spot in the division. They actually have won more wins (33) than first- and second-place Florida (32) and Carolina (32). Tampa Bay is just one point behind Florida and three behind the Hurricanes.

Want another free pick? Hereís a Bulls at Hawks betting preview.

The Pick Is In

Just before the puck drops on Sunday, the Lightning will have just five more games in the 2021 regular season. They have a playoff spot wrapped up. Playing the worst team in the division - Columbus might have something to say about that - will there be enough motivation for Tampa Bay?

Sunday is a great opportunity to capitalize on the home underdog. Detroit keeps games close and they have proven they can do so against the Lightning. You could take the Red Wings to cover as they do often, but take them to win straight up as a plus-money underdog.

NHL Free Pick: DETROIT on ML





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