Adjusting Regular Season Bets for the Postseason
Learn how to adjust
regular season bets for the postseason.
Key Points
– In some ways,
regular season bets are very similar to postseason bets.
– Smart bettors
adjust their regular season bets for the playoffs.
Adjusting
Regular Season Bets for the Postseason
Everyone who takes
their professional sports betting seriously in North America is aware that once
a regular season ends the playoffs begin. In many ways, placing a wager on a
sport's postseason is similar to doing so during the regular season.
However, bettors
should be aware that the regular season and the postseason differ significantly
from one another. Smart bettors are aware of the differences between the two.
Adjustments have to be made in order to maintain profitable betting.
One adjustment could
be your online wagering portal. Make sure you have access to all the latest odds, lines,
scores, and more. Here are a number of other modifications to
regular season bets that should be made by sports bettors in the postseason.
Don’t
Look for Mismatches
During the regular
season, a significant portion of handicapping involves trying to find
mismatches. Mismatches are the foundation of successful handicapping. It might
be a team that is really bad playing a team that is a championship contender.
It could be a simple player-vs.-player mismatch.
It’s even better
when you can identify a mismatch that oddsmakers and the betting public haven't
properly taken into account. However, mismatches are much less common in the
postseason.
In getting ready for the NFL playoffs, remember
that every team is at the top of their game and the bad teams are out of the
picture. Mismatches are easy to find in regular season bets, but they aren’t as
common in the playoffs. They become even less frequent as the postseason goes
on.
Sports bettors
should spend less time looking for mismatches during the playoffs.
Change
Your Bet Size
The start of the
playoffs may be a good time for some bettors to reassess the state of their
bankroll and make necessary adjustments. This could be a good time to increase
your bet size, especially if you had a successful regular season and made some
money.
If the regular
season wasn't so great, you might want to reduce your bet size before you blow
the rest of your bankroll. Proper money management is a key to profitable
sports betting. It doesn’t matter if you are making regular season bets or
betting in the postseason.
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Regular
Season Bets & Patience
When the playoffs
begin, there are fewer games per night to bet on than there are during the
regular season. As the playoffs progress, the games are even fewer.
This means that more
patience is required. If you want to know how to be a smart sports bettor, you
should be very selective. Avoid wagering on any games that don't provide you
with any genuine value.
When looking for
regular season bets, bettors can typically pass on a wide number of games but
still find a game or two to bet. In the playoffs, exercising patience may
result in you going an entire night, or even several nights, without seeing any
action.
In order to give
yourself the best chance of long-term success in placing wise bets, you must be
at ease with that potential lack of action and be willing to put up with it.
Opponents’
Familiarity
During the regular
season, some teams only play each other once a year. Some don't play each other
at all. There can be gaps between games frequently lasting weeks or months. All
of that obviously changes during the postseason for all sports except football.
The playoffs in MLB,
the NBA, and the NHL all feature a series of games. Teams that compete against
one another seven times in a row have no secrets from one another. There are no
surprises after a couple of games because each team knows the other’s
tendencies.
Having this recent
evidence of how the teams matchup can make handicapping playoff games a little
easier. Bettors should be careful though not to overemphasize the familiarity
between the two teams. Sometimes, that can backfire and lead to a loss.
If you’re looking
for more betting strategies, learn how to use middling in sports betting.
Playing
at Home
The importance of
home field or home court advantage cannot be overstated during the playoff
season. Playing at home is a huge deal in the postseason, especially when betting on home underdogs.
Numerous studies
have demonstrated that the fervor of a home crowd and its potential to
influence officials as the biggest factors favoring a home team. The potential
to influence the officials is even greater in the postseason.
Playoff crowds are
more passionate and they are usually larger than during the regular season. In
the postseason, bettors have to take the location of a game into account as it
plays a bigger role than when you are making regular season bets.
Overtime
& Regular Season Bets
When handicapping a
playoff game, you shouldn’t worry all that much about overtime. Postseason
overtime games are rare, but they do occur. You should make sure you have a top notch
sportsbook though.
Bettors should
understand the overtime formats for the different sports. Baseball, of course,
plays extra innings until there is a winner. The NBA and NFL play overtime
periods until one team wins.
The NHL changes its
overtime rules for the playoffs. Instead of a shootout after a five-minute
overtime period, the NHL plays 20-minute overtimes until a team scores.
Again, overtime
playoff games are rare, but they do happen. Keep that in mind as you handicap
postseason games in any sport.