The Dodgers are one victory from advancing after Tuesday’s 3–1 win in Atlanta. The Braves must win Game 4 at Truist Park to send this best-of-five series back to Los Angeles. Tuesday’s game supplied a clear storyline: two fourth-inning home runs accounted for all three Dodgers runs, while Atlanta struggled to build innings against Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
Reported facts: Glasnow and Mahle are listed
MLB’s probable-pitcher listing pairs right-handers Tyler Glasnow and Tyler Mahle. Glasnow finished the regular season with a 3.53 ERA and 98 strikeouts against 25 walks in 74 innings over 13 starts. Mahle’s workload was substantially larger: 149 innings and 27 starts, a 3.99 ERA, 137 strikeouts and 46 walks.
In Game 3, Yamamoto gave Los Angeles seven innings of one-run ball with 10 strikeouts. Kiké Hernández hit a two-run homer and Freddie Freeman added a solo shot. Tanner Scott and Edwin Díaz then handled one inning apiece. MLB’s current roster lists Dodgers reliever Blake Treinen on the 15-day IL and Braves pitchers Spencer Strider and Joe Jiménez on the 60-day IL. Those absences matter to the available pitching depth.
ISR analysis: look beyond Tuesday’s score
Glasnow’s strikeout total relative to his innings highlights the swing-and-miss challenge for Atlanta. The Braves’ useful counter is to make him work for outs: counts, foul balls and baserunners can matter even in an inning without a run. Mahle’s task is different. With Los Angeles capable of turning a single mistake into immediate runs, the location of pitches with men aboard deserves more attention than a broad season ERA comparison.
Yamamoto’s long start limited the number of Dodgers relievers required Tuesday. It did not make Scott and Díaz unused or guarantee their availability Wednesday. Atlanta employed four relievers after Chris Sale’s five innings. Compare the actual workloads and matchup choices before assuming either bullpen is fully rested.
Factors to watch
- Atlanta’s strikeout and walk balance against Glasnow.
- Whether Mahle keeps traffic off the bases ahead of Los Angeles’ power bats.
- The confirmed batting orders; Tuesday’s order should not be treated as Wednesday’s lineup.
- How quickly an elimination-game manager changes pitchers when an inning begins to unravel.
Market snapshot and source check
Source: DraftKings odds displayed by ESPN’s game page, checked October 7, 2026, 7:30 a.m. EDT. Displayed line: LAD -148; total 7.5. This is a timestamped source snapshot, not a closing-line claim or a betting recommendation. No opening-to-current movement is inferred. Scheduled starters and availability may change before the game.
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